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2024-12-13 04:13:24

Several important signals. . .This means that the probability of interest rate cuts is increased, the interference of not cutting interest rates is reduced, and more help is added for the market to choose an upward breakthrough.News surface


Long-term direction: real estate, kitchen appliances, chicken raising, food, zinc, good free cash flow, high dividends, high dividends, and growth (don't blindly pursue high dividends, be wary of varieties with high dividends and low dividends, and wait for the callback to stabilize and intervene).The non-agricultural rebound in November in the United States exceeded expectations, and the unemployment rate rose slightly, pushing up the probability of interest rate cuts this month.This means that the probability of interest rate cuts is increased, the interference of not cutting interest rates is reduced, and more help is added for the market to choose an upward breakthrough.


The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.News surfaceIn fact, the market should have been constrained in this way a long time ago. Many industries are prone to various kinds of production capacity, and an industry with good results is hard to survive because of various price wars, which also leads to a very long period for the whole industry to recover.

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